Kaspersky Lab Makes Its Forecasts for the Coming Year
Woburn, MA –
December 12, 2013 - Kaspersky Lab’s experts
have made their predictions about 2014. Not surprisingly, much of what they
have seen in their crystal balls is connected to the fall-out from Edward
End user forecast Cybercriminals
Your Privacy After the Snowden scandal of
2013, people are determined to keep
their private life under wraps despite the attentions of intelligence agencies
around the world. That means protecting the information stored on their
computers and devices and ensuring their online behavior remains confidential.
This will lead to greater popularity for VPN services and Tor-anonymizers as
well as increased demand for local encryption tools.
Your Money In 2014, Kaspersky Lab’s
experts expect cybercriminals to continue developing tools to steal cash –
directly or indirectly. To plunder pockets directly, the fraudsters will further
refine their tools designed to access the bank accounts of mobile device owners
(mobile phishing, banking Trojans).
Mobile botnets will be bought and sold and will also be used to
distribute malicious attachments on behalf of third parties. To support
indirect thefts, it is likely that we will see more sophisticated versions of
the Trojans which encrypt the data on mobile devices, preventing access to
photos, contacts and correspondence until a decryption fee is handed over.
Android-based smartphones will no doubt be the first to be targeted.
Your Bitcoins In 2014 Kaspersky Lab’s experts expect considerable growth in the number of
attacks targeting Bitcoin users’ wallets, Bitcoin pools and stock exchanges. Find out how to keep
your Bitcoins safe here.
forecast For Internet service providers
A number of popular Internet services have
already announced the implementation of additional measures to protect user
data, for example, encryption of all data transmitted between their own
servers. Implementing more sophisticated protection measures will continue, and
is likely to become a key factor when users choose between rival web services.
For cloud storage providers Hackers are targeting cloud service employees, seeing them as the weakest
link in the security chain. A successful attack here could hand cybercriminals
the keys to huge volumes of data. In addition to data theft, attackers may be
interested in deleting or modifying information - in some cases manipulated
misinformation could be worth even more to those who commission the attacks.
This is an on-going trend.
For software developers The theft of popular product sources (gaming
industry, mobile apps developers, etc) gives attackers an excellent opportunity to
find vulnerabilities in the products and then to use them for their own
fraudulent purposes. In addition, if cybercriminals have access to the victim’s
repositories, they can modify the program source code and embed backdoors into
For rivals Snowden’s leaks have demonstrated that one of the goals of cyber espionage
between states is to provide economic aid to “friendly” companies. This factor
has broken down ethical barriers which initially restrained business from using
unconventional methods to compete with their rivals. In the new realities of
cyberspace, businesses are contemplating the possibility of conducting this
kind of activity for themselves. Companies will employ cyber-mercenaries, organized groups of qualified hackers who can offer bespoke cyber-espionage
The World Wide Web forecast
Several countries have adopted or are
planning to adopt legislation prohibiting the use of foreign services. In
November, Germany announced that all communications between the German
authorities would be fully locked within the country. Brazil has announced its
plans to build an alternative Internet channel so as not to use the one
that goes through Florida (USA).
Quote: Alexander Gostev, Chief
Security Expert, Global Research & Analysis Team
Kaspersky Lab “The Internet has begun to
break up into national segments. Snowden’s revelations have intensified the
demand for rules prohibiting the use of foreign services. Individual countries
are no longer willing to let a single byte of information out of their
networks. These aspirations will grow ever stronger and legislative
restrictions will inevitably transform into technical prohibitions. The next
step will most likely be attempts to limit foreign access to data inside a
country. As this trend develops further it may lead at some point to the
collapse of the current Internet, which will break into dozens of national
networks. The shadowy Darknet then will be the only truly world-wide web.”
About Kaspersky Lab Kaspersky Lab is the world’s largest privately held vendor of
endpoint protection solutions. The company is ranked among the world’s top four
vendors of security solutions for endpoint users*. Throughout its more than
16-year history Kaspersky Lab has remained an innovator in IT security and
provides effective digital security solutions for large enterprises, SMBs and
consumers. Kaspersky Lab, with its holding company registered in the United
Kingdom, currently operates in almost 200 countries and territories across the
globe, providing protection for over 300 million users worldwide. Learn more at
* The company was rated fourth in the IDC rating Worldwide Endpoint Security Revenue by
Vendor, 2012. The rating was published in the IDC
report "Worldwide Endpoint Security 2013–2017 Forecast and 2012 Vendor
Shares (IDC #242618, August 2013).
The report ranked software vendors according to earnings from sales of endpoint
security solutions in 2012.